2025–26 WSL Gameweek 7 Preview & Predictions
Chelsea, Arsenal and Man City heavy favourites; United travel to Brighton, Villa host Everton, and Spurs look to extend form against Liverpool – full Gameweek 7 preview & predictions.
🌍 Weekend Landscape
After a short international break, the WSL returns as the top contenders face bottom-half opponents in Gameweek 7.
Chelsea and Manchester City will be heavy favourites at home against newly promoted London City Lionesses and winless West Ham United, respectively.
Arsenal travel to Leicester City, while Manchester United visit a resilient Brighton & Hove Albion side that has proven tricky to break down.
Elsewhere, Aston Villa look to build momentum at home to Everton, and high-flying Tottenham Hotspur aim to pile more misery on Liverpool.
With the league’s frontrunners looking to avoid any post-break slip-ups, this round could either reinforce the growing gaps or spring a surprise or two.
Chelsea vs London City Lionesses
Sat 1 Nov, 12:00 PM | Stamford Bridge | Broadcast: Sky Sports
Model win probabilities: CHE 82% – 10% draw – 8% LCL
Baseline, Form & Squad
Chelsea
Chelsea come into this fixture after grinding out a 1–0 win over Tottenham, sealed by a second-half strike in a tense affair.
They remain unbeaten and top the table with 16 points – GF 12, GA 3 (GD +9) – averaging 2.67 points per match.
Underlying metrics: xG 13.4 vs xGA 6.8 → xGD +6.5 (+1.09 per match).
Form: W–W–W–D–W – champions’ rhythm intact.
London City Lionesses
LCL arrive after a composed 1–0 win at West Ham, Kosovare Asllani deciding it in the second half – back-to-back victories.
They’ve taken 9 points from 6 – GF 7, GA 14 (GD –7).
Underlying metrics: xG 9.0 vs xGA 10.3 → xGD –1.3 (–0.22 per match) – competitive underlying profile with a modest deficit.
Defensively, 14 GA (2.33 per match) remains the concern; controlling transitions and box entries will be key at Stamford Bridge.Form: L–W–W–W–L – three wins in five, momentum building but with defensive leakage.
Squad Value Snapshot
Chelsea ~€11.88m vs London City ~€2.28m – roughly 5.2× higher, signalling a clear depth/quality edge on paper.
Head-to-Head
This is the first ever WSL meeting between Chelsea and London City, as LCL are in their debut top-flight season.
Prediction
The model heavily favours Chelsea (82%). Even with players returning from international duty, the champions’ depth and home advantage should prove overwhelming.
Most likely scorelines: 3–0, 2–0, 4–0
Manchester City vs West Ham United
Sat 1 Nov, 12:00 PM | Joie Stadium | Broadcast: Sky Sports
Model win probabilities: MCI 83% – 11% draw – 6% WHU
Baseline, Form & Squad
Manchester City
City arrive after a composed 2–1 comeback win at Anfield, sealed late by Iman Beney and Aoba Fujino – five wins in five WSL matches.
They sit 2nd with 15 points (5–0–1), GF 17, GA 8 (GD +9).
Underlying metrics: xG 15.0 vs xGA 5.1 → xGD +9.9 (+1.65 per match) – the strongest profile in the league.
Form: W–W–W–W–W – relentless.
West Ham United
West Ham come in off a 0–1 defeat at London City Lionesses (68′ winner).
They are 12th with 0 points (0–0–6), GF 2, GA 17 (GD –15).
Underlying metrics: xG 5.9 vs xGA 12.6 → xGD –6.6 (–1.10 per match) – limited chance creation and sustained defensive pressure.
Form: L–L–L–L–L – urgent need to stabilise the back line and find a route to goal.
Squad Value Snapshot
Manchester City ~€7.33m vs West Ham ~€1.56m – roughly 4.7× higher, signalling a substantial quality/depth gap on paper.
Head-to-Head
Last five WSL meetings: Man City 4W, 1D, 0L. Recent scores include 2–0, 5–0, 6–2 wins for City; the only blemish was a 1–1 draw away.
Most recent: West Ham United 1-1 Manchester City (Mar 2025).
Prediction
With an 83% home lean, dominant recent form, and a sizeable squad-value edge, this profiles as one-way traffic if City score first.
Most likely scorelines: 3–0, 2–0, 4–0
Aston Villa vs Everton
Sun 2 Nov, 12:00 PM | Villa Park | Broadcast: Sky Sports | YouTube
Model win probabilities: AVL 52% – 26% draw – 22% EVE
Baseline, Form & Squad
Aston Villa
Villa come into this after a 0–0 vs Leicester City at Villa Park, a game they largely controlled but couldn’t convert – Janina Leitzig’s eight saves denied them.
They are 8th with 6 points from five (1–3–1), GF 4, GA 4 (GD 0), averaging 1.20 points per match.
Underlying metrics: xG 7.3 vs xGA 8.4 → xGD –1.2 (–0.23 per match). The volume is there, but shot quality/finishing hasn’t tipped results.
Form: D–L–D–W–D – competitive but draw-heavy; turning control into goals is the lever.
Everton
Everton arrive after a 1–4 home defeat to Manchester United at the Hill Dickinson Stadium, despite leading on 16′ through Honoka Hayashi.
They are 10th with 4 points from six (1–1–4), GF 7, GA 11 (GD –4), averaging 0.67 points per match.
Underlying metrics: xG 4.3 vs xGA 9.1 → xGD –4.8 (–0.80 per match). Chance creation is lagging and they’re facing sustained defensive pressure.
Form: L–L–D–L–L – defensive stability and ball progression in settled phases are the priorities.
Squad Value Snapshot
Aston Villa ~€1.65m vs Everton ~€1.45m – roughly 1.1× higher, a small on-paper edge for Villa (both among the league’s lower-valued squads).
Head-to-Head
Last five WSL meetings: Aston Villa 2W, Everton 2W, Draw 1.
Most recent: Aston Villa 0–2 Everton (Mar 2025).
Prediction
The model leans Villa (52%). GW6 chance creation points up for Villa, while Everton struggle after the break – 71% of their goals conceded have come after half-time.
Most likely scorelines: 1–0, 1–1, 2–1.
Brighton vs Manchester United
Sun 2 Nov, 12:00 PM | Broadfield Stadium | Broadcast: Sky Sports
Model win probabilities: BHA 20% – 25% draw – 55% MUN
Baseline, Form & Squad
Brighton & Hove Albion
Brighton come into this match after a 0–1 defeat to Arsenal at the Emirates, decided by a 16′ own goal from Marisa Olislagers.
They sit 7th with 7 points (2–1–3), GF 6, GA 5 (GD +1), averaging 1.17 points per match.
Underlying metrics: xG 7.6 vs xGA 8.1 → xGD –0.5 (–0.09 per match). It’s two wins in their last five, signalling the need for sharper final-third moments.
Form: L–W–W–L–L – two wins in five; mixed, trending down after a brief uptick.
Manchester United
United arrive after a 4–1 comeback win at Everton at the Hill Dickinson Stadium, turning it around with goals from Melvine Malard and a Jess Park brace after a 16′ opener by the hosts.
They are 3rd with 14 points (4–2–0), GF 16, GA 3 (GD +13), averaging 2.33 points per match.
Underlying metrics: xG 10.8 vs xGA 7.0 → xGD +3.8 (+0.63 per match), reflecting control without overexposure.
Form: W–D–W–D–W – unbeaten in five with consistent control.
Squad Value Snapshot
Brighton ~€2.02m vs Manchester United ~€6.27m – roughly 3.1× higher for United, indicating a clear depth/quality edge on paper.
Head-to-Head
Last five WSL meetings: United 3W, 2D, 0L. Scorelines in that run include 3–0 (H), 2–0 (H), 4–0 (A) for United, plus 1–1 (A) and 2–2 (A) draws – Brighton have occasionally nicked a point at home, but United have largely controlled the matchup.
Prediction
With a 55% away lean and the recent form/roster edge, this projects as a professional United performance if they manage early territory.
Most likely scorelines: 0–2, 0–1, 1–2.
Leicester City vs Arsenal
Sun 2 Nov, 12:00 PM | King Power Stadium | Broadcast: Sky Sports
Model win probabilities: LEI 5% – 12% draw – 83% ARS
Baseline, Form & Squad
Leicester City
Leicester come into this match after a hard-fought 0–0 draw at Aston Villa, where Janina Leitzig’s eight savespreserved a valuable point.
They sit 9th with 5 points (1–2–3), GF 3, GA 8 (GD –5), averaging 0.83 points per match.
Underlying metrics: xG 2.6 vs xGA 8.3 → xGD –5.7 (–0.95 per match). Chance creation remains limited, while the defence is consistently overworked.
Form: W–L–D–D–D – resilient in spells, but lacking end-product at both ends.
Arsenal
Arsenal arrive after a 1–0 win over Brighton at the Emirates, secured via a 16′ own goal.
They are 5th with 11 points (3–2–1), GF 13, GA 6 (GD +7) – averaging 1.83 points per match.
Underlying metrics: xG 11.3 vs xGA 5.6 → xGD +5.6 (+0.94 per match). Arsenal’s defensive base remains strong, though their attacking conversion still has room for refinement.
Form: W–D–D–L–W – solid at the back, building rhythm going forward.
Squad Value Snapshot
Leicester ~€1.01 m vs Arsenal ~€9.44 m – ≈9.3× higher for Arsenal, underscoring the gulf in quality and depth.
Head-to-Head
Last five WSL meetings: Arsenal 5 Wins
Arsenal have dominated, often winning by 3 + goals. Expect tactical caution from Leicester after being overrun in prior encounters.
Prediction
The model’s 83 % Arsenal lean plus the nine-fold squad value gap suggest control from the outset. If Arsenal convert early, this could be decided inside an hour.
Most likely scorelines: 0–3, 0–2, 1–3.
Tottenham Hotspur vs Liverpool
Sun 2 Nov, 12:00 PM | BetWright Stadium | Broadcast: Sky Sports | YouTube
Model win probabilities: TOT 47% – 27% draw – 26% LIV
Baseline, Form & Squad
Tottenham Hotspur
Spurs come into this match after a narrow 0–1 defeat to Chelsea at the Cherry Red Records Stadium, edged by a second-half strike.
They sit 4th with 12 points (4–0–2), GF 7, GA 7 (GD 0) – averaging 2.00 points per match.
Underlying metrics: xG 6.5 vs xGA 9.1 → xGD –2.6 (–0.43 per match). Results have slightly outpaced the underlying shot-quality balance so far.
Form: W–L–L–W–L – patchy, with tight margins both ways.
Liverpool
Liverpool arrive after a 1–2 home defeat to Manchester City at Anfield, despite taking the lead on 52′.
They are 11th with 0 points (0–0–5), GF 2, GA 10 (GD –8) – averaging 0.00 points per match.
Underlying metrics: xG 3.3 vs xGA 6.5 → xGD –3.2 (–0.63 per match). Chance creation remains limited while the defence faces sustained pressure.
Form: L–L–L–L–L – urgent need to turn early spells into higher-value chances.
Squad Value Snapshot
Tottenham ~€2.285 m vs Liverpool ~€2.670 m. On paper the squads are similar in scale, with Liverpool slightly ahead in aggregate value.
Head-to-Head
Liverpool have had the upper hand in recent WSL meetings. In the last five clashes, Liverpool are unbeaten against Spurs (2W, 3D).
Last season, Liverpool took four points off Tottenham, including a 3–2 win in London and a 2–2 draw at Prenton Park.
In fact, Tottenham haven’t beaten Liverpool in the league since 2019 – more than six years without a win.
This historical trend will give Liverpool some hope – they have proven they can frustrate Spurs – while Tottenham will be keen to end that.
Prediction
Model edge to Spurs (47%) reflects home advantage and their stronger recent form and league position, but they cannot take Liverpool lightly given past matchups.
Most likely scorelines: 1–0, 1–1, 2–1.
Final Word
Favourites: Chelsea, Manchester City, Arsenal and Manchester United are all expected to win.
Matter of urgency: Liverpool and West Ham are still desperately searching for their first points. The probabilities are thin, but even a draw would mean a lot for them right now.
Upset radar:
Brighton vs Man United could be closer than 55–20–25 suggests if Brighton keep it compact as they seem to do all season.
Villa vs Everton is swingy: Villa’s creation is trending up, while 71% of Everton’s concessions have come after HT, this might be another one which will be decided by the late game-state.
Spurs vs Liverpool has a clear favourite, but if Spurs don’t convert early, Liverpool’s resilience can drag it into a one-goal game.
Resource gap realities: Arsenal, Chelsea and City hold massive squad-value edges; if they score early, all three fixtures could end up as a one-way traffic.
Takeaway: The model leans heavily to the top sides this round, but the WSL can still throw surprises – don’t rule out an underdog flipping the script.
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Missed last week? Catch the full Gameweek 6 Recap + analysis in our archive.
Data sources: WSLAnalytics model | Squad values: Soccerdonna | Match stats: FBref & FotMob
Do you mind if I ask where you get your squad value estimates from please?